The Conservative Party's 313 MPs have cast their votes in the first ballot. Sam Gyimah did not make the necessary cut of 8 supporting MPs to compete so it was between 10 Tory members.
The results were:
1. Boris Johnson = 114
2. Jeremy Hunt = 43
3. Michael Gove = 37
4. Dominic Raab = 27
5. Sajid Javid = 23
6. Matt Hancock = 20
7. Rory Stewart = 19
8. Andrea Leadsom = 11
9. Mark Harper = 10
10. Esther McVey = 9
Theresa May, unlike David Cameron, did vote.
Under the new rules decided by the 1922 backbench committee, the top 7 make it through to the next round with Leadsom, Harper an McVey facing their elimination. Leadsom at the top of her field had 84 supporting MPs in 2016 but has lost a lot of that, perhaps due to her withdrawal resulting in Theresa May's appointment.
The results are definitely interesting. Firstly all MPs achieved more than their declared backings, meaning that there was little if any back stabbing in this round. It is also clear that Boris takes the lead, but it is not as comfortable as May's. He has secured roughly 1/3 of the vote and can still be removed from the top two. It is also important to remember that the winner of the 2001 and 2005 leadership elections did not enter the final two so it could not go as well for Boris as it did for May (in the campaign sense). This being said, it does appear that the competition is now a vote on who will go against Boris in the membership vote. This by the result appears to be Hunt, however he only has a small lead over Gove.
It is important to remember that now there are 29 MPs who need to reallocate their support as their chosen candidate has withdrawn. Harper, Leadsom and McVey may also now endorse who they wish to be the next leader of the Conservative party, and their respective votes may follow them. McVey and Leadsom where the most hardcore Brexiteers in the running, both aiming for a no deal with a deal not their goal. Harper fell into the same category of Hunt and Gove of aiming for a deal and perhaps extending the deadline but ultimately is prepared to leave without a deal. McVey and Leadsom's support is likely to go towards Boris but they may feel that their support should go on another candidate as the race is now more on who will take on Boris.
The next vote requires 33 MPs to back the candidate and that means that as it stands only three candidates will go through, however the 29 MPs now up for graps, plus the fact that other MPs will change their minds, means it is entirely possible that even the now losing candidate, Rory Stewart, could still make it through. Rory was the only one who was not expected to make it through who did, and this is perhaps down to his rise in grassroot campaigning, which has seem him rise to second place in the membership polls.
These are interesting times ahead and it will be very interesting to see what happens next.
Star Wars and Doctor Who
Thursday, 13 June 2019
Sunday, 9 June 2019
The Conservative Party Leadership Candidates - as it stands 9th June 2019
Tomorrow those that have declared they attend to run have to submit their candidacy to the 1922 committee. Here is how it currently looks like per MP and their declared backers. Kit Malthouse, who had 7 backers and James Clevely who had 4 backers have pulled out of the race.
1. Boris Johnson = 59
2. Michael Gove = 35
3. Jeremy Hunt = 33
4. Dominic Raab = 24
5. Sajid Javid = 17
6. Matt Hancock = 13
7. Mark Harper = 7
8. Esther McVey = 6
~ Rory Stewart = 6
10. Andrea Leadsom = 5
11. Sam Gyimah = 4
Under new rules and regulations of the contest, each MP has to have 8 backers plus themselves, so 9 in total, to run as opposite to 2 and themselves. This means that Harper, McVey, Stewart, Leadsom and Gyimah are all at a difficult position. However, it is important to remember that not every MP has publicly endorsed a candidate yet. 202 MPs of 313 have declared so far, that's 65%, just over 2/3s.
The current look of numbers puts Johnson way ahead of anyone else, seeming that the competition is really who will be against Boris in the head to head with the membership vote. The look of numbers has evolved throughout the contest. Johnson, Gove, Hunt and Raab were all neck and neck in the beginning but now they have begun to separate and Raab is now more in line with Javid in terms of numbers.
The first round, due for this Thursday, requires 16 MPs, or 5% to back the candidate for them to precede. As it stands 5 will already pass the first round but it is unknown how many others will also make this. Only 6 MPs now they have the necessary backing to even enter at this stage, so survival beyond the first round is not a given. The second round requires 10% of support, so 32 MPs. At this stage, 3 candidates already have that support so know they will make it past that, but who knows about the rest. Remember loyalties will move when candidates have been eliminated. To assist in where support is likely to go once the candidate has been eliminated, I have put the candidates into four groups based off their Brexit standpoint.
No Deal
Esther McVey
Andrea Leadsom
Deal but prepare for no deal
Boris Johnson
Michael Gove
Dominic Raab
Sajid Javid
Deal
Jeremy Hunt
Matt Hancock
Mark Harper
Rory Stewart
Second Referendum
Sam Gyimah
Supporters of Sam are likely to go to a dealer, Stewart and Hancock are more likely to go to Gyimah than any chance of no deal in my opinion. Javid is likely to go to a deal rather than aim for no deal and any dealers preparing for no deal would then transfer to no deal.
If we transferred numbers from the bottom 5 candidates who currently don't have enough support to even enter the contest to who I personally believe they will back the numbers begin to have a different look.
Boris Johnson = 61
Jeremy Hunt = 42
Michael Gove = 36
Dominc Raab = 31
Matt Hancock = 21
Sajid Javid = 18
Suddenly Javid now falls behind. This is just a guess but it shows that the candidates can all move around. If I was to continue this process and remove Javid's supporters, the look will change again. Javid's are unlikely to go to all of the other contenders, some will go to Hunt I believe as Javid is not the strongest Brexiteer. Raab's allegations of progoring Parliament rules him out in my eyes, as does Hancock.
Boris Johnson = 67
Jeremy Hunt = 48
Michael Gove = 42
Matt Hancock = 21
Hancock then gets himself eliminated under my rule book. His supporters are likely to go to Hunt, but some will go to Gove. Few will probably go to Johnson as well but it is likely to be the smallest amount.
Boris Johnson = 71
Jeremy Hunt = 58
Michael Gove = 49
This would result in Boris and Jeremy going to the membership. This is what I call the race to be between.
Finally who has big name supporters. C stands for Cabinet or someone who attends cabinet. Eliminated or Pulled out contested is marked by E. Ruth Davison is not included as she is not an MP but she is influential in her position. She backs Javid.
Boris Johnson - Steve Baker, Peter Bone, James Brokenshire (C), Alun Caires (C) James Cleverley (E), Nadine Dorries, Sir Michael Fallon, Zac Goldsmith, Chris Grayling (C), Jo Johnson, Julian Lewis (C), Johnny Mercer, Priti Patel, Jacob Rees-Mogg, Liz Truss (C), John Wittingdale, Gavin WIlliamson.
Michael Gove - Karen Bradley (C), Michael Fabricant, Damien Hinds (C), Edward Leigh, Sir Oliver Letwin, Nicky Morgan, Mel Stride (C)
Jeremy Hunt - Liam Fox (C), Sir Patrick McLoughlin, Amber Rudd (C)
Dominc Raab - David Davis
Sajid Javid - Stephen Crabb, Jeremy Wright (C)
Matt Hancock - Damien Green, Dame Caroline Spellman
Rory Stewart - Ken Clarke, David Guake (C), Sir Nicholas Soames
Sam Gyimah - Dominic Grieve, Philip Lee
Boris Johnson has the most amount of support from Cabinet members, with a total of 5 so far. Gove has three, Hunt 2 and Javid and Stewart one each.
It is interesting times ahead in deed. Of the 28 Cabinet Members that I am including (all Cabinet members plus the Chief Whip, Secretary to the Treasury, Leader of the House of Commons and Attorney General), 17 have declared including those running themselves.
The contest officially beginnings tomorrow.
Since 9th June, Penny Mordant, another Cabinet minister, declared her backing for Hunt.
1. Boris Johnson = 59
2. Michael Gove = 35
3. Jeremy Hunt = 33
4. Dominic Raab = 24
5. Sajid Javid = 17
6. Matt Hancock = 13
7. Mark Harper = 7
8. Esther McVey = 6
~ Rory Stewart = 6
10. Andrea Leadsom = 5
11. Sam Gyimah = 4
Under new rules and regulations of the contest, each MP has to have 8 backers plus themselves, so 9 in total, to run as opposite to 2 and themselves. This means that Harper, McVey, Stewart, Leadsom and Gyimah are all at a difficult position. However, it is important to remember that not every MP has publicly endorsed a candidate yet. 202 MPs of 313 have declared so far, that's 65%, just over 2/3s.
The current look of numbers puts Johnson way ahead of anyone else, seeming that the competition is really who will be against Boris in the head to head with the membership vote. The look of numbers has evolved throughout the contest. Johnson, Gove, Hunt and Raab were all neck and neck in the beginning but now they have begun to separate and Raab is now more in line with Javid in terms of numbers.
The first round, due for this Thursday, requires 16 MPs, or 5% to back the candidate for them to precede. As it stands 5 will already pass the first round but it is unknown how many others will also make this. Only 6 MPs now they have the necessary backing to even enter at this stage, so survival beyond the first round is not a given. The second round requires 10% of support, so 32 MPs. At this stage, 3 candidates already have that support so know they will make it past that, but who knows about the rest. Remember loyalties will move when candidates have been eliminated. To assist in where support is likely to go once the candidate has been eliminated, I have put the candidates into four groups based off their Brexit standpoint.
No Deal
Esther McVey
Andrea Leadsom
Deal but prepare for no deal
Boris Johnson
Michael Gove
Dominic Raab
Sajid Javid
Deal
Jeremy Hunt
Matt Hancock
Mark Harper
Rory Stewart
Second Referendum
Sam Gyimah
Supporters of Sam are likely to go to a dealer, Stewart and Hancock are more likely to go to Gyimah than any chance of no deal in my opinion. Javid is likely to go to a deal rather than aim for no deal and any dealers preparing for no deal would then transfer to no deal.
If we transferred numbers from the bottom 5 candidates who currently don't have enough support to even enter the contest to who I personally believe they will back the numbers begin to have a different look.
Boris Johnson = 61
Jeremy Hunt = 42
Michael Gove = 36
Dominc Raab = 31
Matt Hancock = 21
Sajid Javid = 18
Suddenly Javid now falls behind. This is just a guess but it shows that the candidates can all move around. If I was to continue this process and remove Javid's supporters, the look will change again. Javid's are unlikely to go to all of the other contenders, some will go to Hunt I believe as Javid is not the strongest Brexiteer. Raab's allegations of progoring Parliament rules him out in my eyes, as does Hancock.
Boris Johnson = 67
Jeremy Hunt = 48
Michael Gove = 42
Matt Hancock = 21
Hancock then gets himself eliminated under my rule book. His supporters are likely to go to Hunt, but some will go to Gove. Few will probably go to Johnson as well but it is likely to be the smallest amount.
Boris Johnson = 71
Jeremy Hunt = 58
Michael Gove = 49
This would result in Boris and Jeremy going to the membership. This is what I call the race to be between.
Finally who has big name supporters. C stands for Cabinet or someone who attends cabinet. Eliminated or Pulled out contested is marked by E. Ruth Davison is not included as she is not an MP but she is influential in her position. She backs Javid.
Boris Johnson - Steve Baker, Peter Bone, James Brokenshire (C), Alun Caires (C) James Cleverley (E), Nadine Dorries, Sir Michael Fallon, Zac Goldsmith, Chris Grayling (C), Jo Johnson, Julian Lewis (C), Johnny Mercer, Priti Patel, Jacob Rees-Mogg, Liz Truss (C), John Wittingdale, Gavin WIlliamson.
Michael Gove - Karen Bradley (C), Michael Fabricant, Damien Hinds (C), Edward Leigh, Sir Oliver Letwin, Nicky Morgan, Mel Stride (C)
Jeremy Hunt - Liam Fox (C), Sir Patrick McLoughlin, Amber Rudd (C)
Dominc Raab - David Davis
Sajid Javid - Stephen Crabb, Jeremy Wright (C)
Matt Hancock - Damien Green, Dame Caroline Spellman
Rory Stewart - Ken Clarke, David Guake (C), Sir Nicholas Soames
Sam Gyimah - Dominic Grieve, Philip Lee
Boris Johnson has the most amount of support from Cabinet members, with a total of 5 so far. Gove has three, Hunt 2 and Javid and Stewart one each.
It is interesting times ahead in deed. Of the 28 Cabinet Members that I am including (all Cabinet members plus the Chief Whip, Secretary to the Treasury, Leader of the House of Commons and Attorney General), 17 have declared including those running themselves.
The contest officially beginnings tomorrow.
Since 9th June, Penny Mordant, another Cabinet minister, declared her backing for Hunt.
Sunday, 2 June 2019
Conservative Party Leadership - who has most backing 2nd June
Number of Supporters - 2nd June 2019
1. Boris Johnson = 30
2. Jeremy Hunt = 29
~ Michael Gove = 29
4. Dominic Raab = 23
5. Sajid Javid = 17
6. Matt Hancock = 12
7. Kit Maldhouse = 7
8. Esther McVey = 6
9. Mark Harper = 5
~ Rory Stewart = 5
11. Andrea Leadsom = 4
~ James Clevley = 4
13. Sam Giyah = 1
Total MPs listed their support: 172 of 313 (55%)
With just over half of MPs listed their support, a picture can be taken on who will take the lead, however it could of course all change. In the way the contest works, only one candidate is eliminated at a time so although the top is of course important, it is the bottom that is more at this stage in terms of who will ultimately win.
With so many candidates entering, many will be on a similar number and many will be on a low number. Sam Giyah is currently the lowest, however he only revealed his candidacy today so his level of support is likely to be low at the moment. Remember that people will gain allegiances further on from candidates that have been eliminated and their supporters who match their view. My guess is that supporters of Giyah will go to Stewart, Hancock or Hunt upon them leaving. Clevley's support could go to any brexiteer. Leadsom's are likely to go to McVey.
Leadsom's performance is perhaps the most interesting. She is on the lower end despite coming second to Theresa May in the last leadership election. Boris is winning but only by a small margin and has only recently taken the lead from Hunt who has not received many endorsements recently. The top 4 candidates seem to be the only likely ones to end up in the top 2, Hunt is an almost definite as the only dealer of the 4, meaning the other dealers will back him. Johnson, Gove and Raab will battle it out for the other slot and whoever wins there is likely to be the new leader as the Conservative membership back a no deal.
Of the cabinet, three members or attendees have declared their backing. Liz Truss has for Johnson, Mel Stride for Gove and David Guake for Stewart. Of course, Hunt, Gove, Javid, Hancock and Stewart are Cabinet members themselves.
It will be very interesting to see what the actual result will end up being.
1. Boris Johnson = 30
2. Jeremy Hunt = 29
~ Michael Gove = 29
4. Dominic Raab = 23
5. Sajid Javid = 17
6. Matt Hancock = 12
7. Kit Maldhouse = 7
8. Esther McVey = 6
9. Mark Harper = 5
~ Rory Stewart = 5
11. Andrea Leadsom = 4
~ James Clevley = 4
13. Sam Giyah = 1
Total MPs listed their support: 172 of 313 (55%)
With just over half of MPs listed their support, a picture can be taken on who will take the lead, however it could of course all change. In the way the contest works, only one candidate is eliminated at a time so although the top is of course important, it is the bottom that is more at this stage in terms of who will ultimately win.
With so many candidates entering, many will be on a similar number and many will be on a low number. Sam Giyah is currently the lowest, however he only revealed his candidacy today so his level of support is likely to be low at the moment. Remember that people will gain allegiances further on from candidates that have been eliminated and their supporters who match their view. My guess is that supporters of Giyah will go to Stewart, Hancock or Hunt upon them leaving. Clevley's support could go to any brexiteer. Leadsom's are likely to go to McVey.
Leadsom's performance is perhaps the most interesting. She is on the lower end despite coming second to Theresa May in the last leadership election. Boris is winning but only by a small margin and has only recently taken the lead from Hunt who has not received many endorsements recently. The top 4 candidates seem to be the only likely ones to end up in the top 2, Hunt is an almost definite as the only dealer of the 4, meaning the other dealers will back him. Johnson, Gove and Raab will battle it out for the other slot and whoever wins there is likely to be the new leader as the Conservative membership back a no deal.
Of the cabinet, three members or attendees have declared their backing. Liz Truss has for Johnson, Mel Stride for Gove and David Guake for Stewart. Of course, Hunt, Gove, Javid, Hancock and Stewart are Cabinet members themselves.
It will be very interesting to see what the actual result will end up being.
Conservative Party Leadership Contest - Who is Standing Updated
Cabinet Members also include non-cabinet members that attend Cabinet meetings
Rory Stewart
Declared: 5th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Positions: International Development Secretary (2019-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Unknown
Cabinet Members Support: David Guake
Other Significant Support: Sir Nicholas Soames, Kenneth Clarke
Notes: Wishes to find a compromise for a deal to leave the European Union. Supported May in all three meaningful votes. Has declared that he would not serve under Boris Johnson if he backed no deal. Has stated no deal would be disastrous for the country. Wishes to solve Brexit by meeting people across the country through gatherings organised by Twitter.
Esther McVey
Declared: 9th May 2019
MP Since: 2010-2015, 2017-
Cabinet Position: Work and Pensions Secretary (2018)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: No Deal (will not renegotiate a deal at all)
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Inapplicable as not MP at the time
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: Resigned after Theresa May's withdrawal agreement was published. Backed the Third Meaningful vote. Supports leaving the EU without a deal as her main priority, will not even try and renegotiate a new deal
Boris Johnson
Declared: 17th May 2019
MP Since: 2001-2008, 2015-
Cabinet Position: Foreign Secretary (2016-2018)
Other Significant Roles: Mayor of London (2008-2016)
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Deal but prepare for no deal. Exit for 31st October
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Andrea Leadsom
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: Peter Bone, Jacob Rees-Mogg, Nadine Dorries, Gavin Williamson, Zac Goldsmith, Johnny Mercer, John Wittingdale, Jo Johnson, Liz Truss
Notes: Resigned after Theresa May's Chequers Plan to leave the EU. Supported Third Meaningful vote. Is prepared to leave with no deal. Long-time favourite to lead the Party. Currently under investigating for misconduct in public office for lying by saying that £350 million could be given to the NHS if Britain voted to leave the EU. Donald Trump, President of the US, has declared his backing for Boris Johnson
Jeremy Hunt
Declared: 24th May 2019
MP Since: 2005
Cabinet Position: Culture Secretary (2010-2012), Health Secretary (2012-2018), Foreign Secretary (2018-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Aim for deal but prepare for no deal (no deal should be avoided at almost all costs)
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Theresa May
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: Patrick McLoughlin
Notes: Backed all three of Theresa May's meaningful vote but is believed to have privately rejected the attempted fourth. Is prepared for no deal but believes it would be 'political suicide' if the country did leave the EU this way. Was a contemporary of David Cameron at Oxford.
Matt Hancock
Declared: 25th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Position: Culture Secretary (2018), Health Secretary (2018-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Unknown
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: Damien Green, Caroline Spellman
Notes: Seeks to compromise with Parliament and be more open than Theresa May to reach a deal. Voted in favour of all three meaningful votes under Theresa May. Hancock has been described as being tech-savy and was the first MP to have their own app. Along with Raab, he started the 'Do not speak ill of a fellow Conservative pledge'. The Sun reports that Hancock was the one who approached the media to broadcast debates between the would-be leaders.
Dominic Raab
Declared: 25th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Position: Brexit Secretary (2018)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Aim for deal but prepare for no deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Michael Gove, unknown in membership vote
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: David Davis
Notes: Resigned as Brexit Secretary following disagreement with the withdrawal arrangement of exiting the EU. Voted for Theresa May's Third meaningful vote. Backs a deal but is prepared to leave with no deal. Along with Hancock, started the 'Thou Shall not speak ill will of a fellow Conservative' pledge.
Andrea Leadsom
Declared: 25th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Position: Environment Secretary (2016-2017), Leader of the House of Commons (2017-2019)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: No Deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Herself
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: Went for leader in 2016, made it to the final two before withdrawing in the membership vote after saying that she would make a better PM than Theresa because she has children. Backed the government on the three meaningful votes but resigned as she opposed the propositions for the fourth. Will not try and negotiate another deal and prefers to prepare for a managed exit.
Michael Gove
Declared: 26th May 2019
MP Since: 2005
Cabinet Position: Education Secretary (2010-2014), Chief Whip (2014-2015), Justice Secretary (2015-2016), Environment Secretary (2017-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Deal but prepare for no deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Himself until he was voted out in second ballot, then supported Theresa May
Cabinet Members Support: Mel Stride
Other Significant Support: Edward Leigh, Nicky Morgan
Notes: Ran in 2016 after stating he would not. Came 3rd of 5th, eliminated in second ballot. Gove's performance was noted to be weaker as he had withdrawn his support of Boris Johnson only minutes before the candidate deadline. Leading figure in Vote Leave but has stayed in the cabinet and supported May in all three meaningful votes.
Sajid Javid
Declared: 27th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Position: Culture Secretary (2014-2015), Business Secretary (2014-2015), Communities Secretary and Local Government Secretary (2015-2018), Home Secretary (2018-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Deal but prepare for no deal and must leave 31st October
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Stephen Crabb (Ballot 1), Theresa May thereafter
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: Remain but with lackluster in the 2016 campaign. Pledged to provide more police officers. Would be first Prime Minister of a minority ethnicity. Backed all three meaningful votes although believed to privately reject the fourth. Javid wishes to negotiate a deal but states that the UK will leave 31st October no matter what.
Kit Malthouse
Declared: 27th May 2019
MP Since: 2015
Cabinet Position: -
Other Significant Roles: Deputy Mayor of London (2008-2016)
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Deal but prepare for no deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Theresa May
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: The Malthouse amendment put forward by Malthouse on one of the meaningful votes is the considered to be the most successful of the compromises put forward. Malthouse favours a deal or a 'managed no deal'. Voted in favour of all three meaningful votes put forward by Theresa May.
James Cleverly
Declared: 29th May 2019
MP Since: 2015
Cabinet Position: -
Other Significant Roles: Deputy Chairman of the Conservative Party (2018-2019)
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Favours Deal but prepared for no deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Theresa May
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: When questioned on lack of experience, Cleverly commented how neither Blair nor Cameron had any governmental experience and both were the more successful of the previous 4 Prime Ministers. Voted in favour of all three meaningful votes. Believes no deal should not be the aim but it would not be disaster if it occurred.
Mark Harper
Declared: 30th May 2019
MP Since: 2005
Cabinet Position: Chief Whip (2015-2016)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Deal at all costs, even extending the deadline past 31st October
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Unknown
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: Believes that leaving the EU is necessary, but it has to be with a deal even if that means extending the deadline further. Only candidate who has never been part of Theresa May's government. Voted against Theresa May's first and second meaningful votes
Sam Gyimah
Declared: 2nd June 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Position: None
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Second Referendum with deal and no deal as well as remain on the ballot box. Would campaign for remain.
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Theresa May
Cabinent Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: Entered race to be the representative of the second referendum. Resigned as a minister over Brexit. Voted against Theresa May's withdrawal agreement all three times.
Rory Stewart
Declared: 5th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Positions: International Development Secretary (2019-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Unknown
Cabinet Members Support: David Guake
Other Significant Support: Sir Nicholas Soames, Kenneth Clarke
Notes: Wishes to find a compromise for a deal to leave the European Union. Supported May in all three meaningful votes. Has declared that he would not serve under Boris Johnson if he backed no deal. Has stated no deal would be disastrous for the country. Wishes to solve Brexit by meeting people across the country through gatherings organised by Twitter.
Esther McVey
Declared: 9th May 2019
MP Since: 2010-2015, 2017-
Cabinet Position: Work and Pensions Secretary (2018)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: No Deal (will not renegotiate a deal at all)
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Inapplicable as not MP at the time
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: Resigned after Theresa May's withdrawal agreement was published. Backed the Third Meaningful vote. Supports leaving the EU without a deal as her main priority, will not even try and renegotiate a new deal
Boris Johnson
Declared: 17th May 2019
MP Since: 2001-2008, 2015-
Cabinet Position: Foreign Secretary (2016-2018)
Other Significant Roles: Mayor of London (2008-2016)
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Deal but prepare for no deal. Exit for 31st October
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Andrea Leadsom
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: Peter Bone, Jacob Rees-Mogg, Nadine Dorries, Gavin Williamson, Zac Goldsmith, Johnny Mercer, John Wittingdale, Jo Johnson, Liz Truss
Notes: Resigned after Theresa May's Chequers Plan to leave the EU. Supported Third Meaningful vote. Is prepared to leave with no deal. Long-time favourite to lead the Party. Currently under investigating for misconduct in public office for lying by saying that £350 million could be given to the NHS if Britain voted to leave the EU. Donald Trump, President of the US, has declared his backing for Boris Johnson
Jeremy Hunt
Declared: 24th May 2019
MP Since: 2005
Cabinet Position: Culture Secretary (2010-2012), Health Secretary (2012-2018), Foreign Secretary (2018-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Aim for deal but prepare for no deal (no deal should be avoided at almost all costs)
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Theresa May
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: Patrick McLoughlin
Notes: Backed all three of Theresa May's meaningful vote but is believed to have privately rejected the attempted fourth. Is prepared for no deal but believes it would be 'political suicide' if the country did leave the EU this way. Was a contemporary of David Cameron at Oxford.
Matt Hancock
Declared: 25th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Position: Culture Secretary (2018), Health Secretary (2018-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Unknown
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: Damien Green, Caroline Spellman
Notes: Seeks to compromise with Parliament and be more open than Theresa May to reach a deal. Voted in favour of all three meaningful votes under Theresa May. Hancock has been described as being tech-savy and was the first MP to have their own app. Along with Raab, he started the 'Do not speak ill of a fellow Conservative pledge'. The Sun reports that Hancock was the one who approached the media to broadcast debates between the would-be leaders.
Dominic Raab
Declared: 25th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Position: Brexit Secretary (2018)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Aim for deal but prepare for no deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Michael Gove, unknown in membership vote
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: David Davis
Notes: Resigned as Brexit Secretary following disagreement with the withdrawal arrangement of exiting the EU. Voted for Theresa May's Third meaningful vote. Backs a deal but is prepared to leave with no deal. Along with Hancock, started the 'Thou Shall not speak ill will of a fellow Conservative' pledge.
Andrea Leadsom
Declared: 25th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Position: Environment Secretary (2016-2017), Leader of the House of Commons (2017-2019)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: No Deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Herself
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: Went for leader in 2016, made it to the final two before withdrawing in the membership vote after saying that she would make a better PM than Theresa because she has children. Backed the government on the three meaningful votes but resigned as she opposed the propositions for the fourth. Will not try and negotiate another deal and prefers to prepare for a managed exit.
Michael Gove
Declared: 26th May 2019
MP Since: 2005
Cabinet Position: Education Secretary (2010-2014), Chief Whip (2014-2015), Justice Secretary (2015-2016), Environment Secretary (2017-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Deal but prepare for no deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Himself until he was voted out in second ballot, then supported Theresa May
Cabinet Members Support: Mel Stride
Other Significant Support: Edward Leigh, Nicky Morgan
Notes: Ran in 2016 after stating he would not. Came 3rd of 5th, eliminated in second ballot. Gove's performance was noted to be weaker as he had withdrawn his support of Boris Johnson only minutes before the candidate deadline. Leading figure in Vote Leave but has stayed in the cabinet and supported May in all three meaningful votes.
Sajid Javid
Declared: 27th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Position: Culture Secretary (2014-2015), Business Secretary (2014-2015), Communities Secretary and Local Government Secretary (2015-2018), Home Secretary (2018-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Deal but prepare for no deal and must leave 31st October
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Stephen Crabb (Ballot 1), Theresa May thereafter
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: Remain but with lackluster in the 2016 campaign. Pledged to provide more police officers. Would be first Prime Minister of a minority ethnicity. Backed all three meaningful votes although believed to privately reject the fourth. Javid wishes to negotiate a deal but states that the UK will leave 31st October no matter what.
Kit Malthouse
Declared: 27th May 2019
MP Since: 2015
Cabinet Position: -
Other Significant Roles: Deputy Mayor of London (2008-2016)
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Deal but prepare for no deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Theresa May
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: The Malthouse amendment put forward by Malthouse on one of the meaningful votes is the considered to be the most successful of the compromises put forward. Malthouse favours a deal or a 'managed no deal'. Voted in favour of all three meaningful votes put forward by Theresa May.
James Cleverly
Declared: 29th May 2019
MP Since: 2015
Cabinet Position: -
Other Significant Roles: Deputy Chairman of the Conservative Party (2018-2019)
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Favours Deal but prepared for no deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Theresa May
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: When questioned on lack of experience, Cleverly commented how neither Blair nor Cameron had any governmental experience and both were the more successful of the previous 4 Prime Ministers. Voted in favour of all three meaningful votes. Believes no deal should not be the aim but it would not be disaster if it occurred.
Mark Harper
Declared: 30th May 2019
MP Since: 2005
Cabinet Position: Chief Whip (2015-2016)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Deal at all costs, even extending the deadline past 31st October
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Unknown
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: Believes that leaving the EU is necessary, but it has to be with a deal even if that means extending the deadline further. Only candidate who has never been part of Theresa May's government. Voted against Theresa May's first and second meaningful votes
Sam Gyimah
Declared: 2nd June 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Position: None
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Second Referendum with deal and no deal as well as remain on the ballot box. Would campaign for remain.
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Theresa May
Cabinent Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: Entered race to be the representative of the second referendum. Resigned as a minister over Brexit. Voted against Theresa May's withdrawal agreement all three times.
Saturday, 25 May 2019
The Next Conservative Party Leader - Who is running?
Cabinet Members also include non-cabinet members that attend Cabinet meetings
Rory Stewart
Declared: 5th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Positions: International Development Secretary (2019-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Unknown
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: Sir Nicholas Soames
Notes: Wishes to find a compromise for a deal to leave the European Union. Supported May in all three meaningful votes. Has declared that he would not serve under Boris Johnson if he backed no deal. Has stated no deal would be disastrous for the country. Wishes to solve Brexit by meeting people across the country through gatherings organised by Twitter.
Esther McVey
Declared: 9th May 2019
MP Since: 2010-2015, 2017-
Cabinet Position: Work and Pensions Secretary (2018)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: No Deal (will not renegotiate a deal at all)
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Inapplicable as not MP at the time
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: Resigned after Theresa May's withdrawal agreement was published. Backed the Third Meaningful vote. Supports leaving the EU without a deal as her main priority, will not even try and renegotiate a new deal
Boris Johnson
Declared: 17th May 2019
MP Since: 2001-2008, 2015-
Cabinet Position: Foreign Secretary (2016-2018)
Other Significant Roles: Mayor of London (2008-2016)
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: No Deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Andrea Leadsom
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: Peter Bone, Jacob Rees-Mogg, Nadine Dorries, Gavin Williamson, Zac Goldsmith, Johnny Mercer, John Wittingdale, Jo Johnson
Notes: Resigned after Theresa May's Chequers Plan to leave the EU. Supported Third Meaningful vote. Is prepared to leave with no deal. Long-time favourite to lead the Party. Currently under investigating for misconduct in public office for lying by saying that £350 million could be given to the NHS if Britain voted to leave the EU.
Jeremy Hunt
Declared: 24th May 2019
MP Since: 2005
Cabinet Position: Culture Secretary (2010-2012), Health Secretary (2012-2018), Foreign Secretary (2018-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Aim for deal but prepare for no deal (no deal should be avoided)
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Theresa May
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: Patrick McLoughlin
Notes: Backed all three of Theresa May's meaningful vote but is believed to have privately rejected the attempted fourth. Is prepared for no deal but believes it would be 'political suicide' if the country did leave the EU this way. Was a contemporary of David Cameron at Oxford.
Matt Hancock
Declared: 25th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Position: Culture Secretary (2018), Health Secretary (2018-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Unknown
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: Damien Green, Caroline Spellman
Notes: Seeks to compromise with Parliament and be more open than Theresa May to reach a deal. Voted in favour of all three meaningful votes under Theresa May. Hancock has been described as being tech-savy and was the first MP to have their own app. Along with Raab, he started the 'Do not speak ill of a fellow Conservative pledge'. The Sun reports that Hancock was the one who approached the media to broadcast debates between the would-be leaders.
Dominic Raab
Declared: 25th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Position: Brexit Secretary (2018)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Aim for deal but prepare for no deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Michael Gove, unknown in membership vote
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: David Davis
Notes: Resigned as Brexit Secretary following disagreement with the withdrawal arrangement of exiting the EU. Voted for Theresa May's Third meaningful vote. Backs a deal but is prepared to leave with no deal. Along with Hancock, started the 'Thou Shall not speak ill will of a fellow Conservative' pledge.
Andrea Leadsom
Declared: 25th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Position: Environment Secretary (2016-2017), Leader of the House of Commons (2017-2019)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Deal but prepared to leave with no deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Herself
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: Went for leader in 2016, made it to the final two before withdrawing in the membership vote after saying that she would make a better PM than Theresa because she has children. Backed the government on the three meaningful votes but resigned as she opposed the propositions for the fourth. Wishes to leave with a deal but is prepared to leave with no deal.
Michael Gove
Declared: 26th May 2019
MP Since: 2005
Cabinet Position: Education Secretary (2010-2014), Chief Whip (2014-2015), Justice Secretary (2015-2016), Environment Secretary (2017-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Deal but prepare for no deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Himself until he was voted out in second ballot, then supported Theresa May
Cabinet Members Support: Mel Stride
Other Significant Support: Edward Leigh, Nicky Morgan
Notes: Ran in 2016 after stating he would not. Came 3rd of 5th, eliminated in second ballot. Gove's performance was noted to be weaker as he had withdrawn his support of Boris Johnson only minutes before the candidate deadline. Leading figure in Vote Leave but has stayed in the cabinet and supported May in all three meaningful votes.
Sajid Javid
Declared: 27th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Position: Culture Secretary (2014-2015), Business Secretary (2014-2015), Communities Secretary and Local Government Secretary (2015-2018), Home Secretary (2018-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Not stated yet, but likely to be deal and prepare for no deal but in last resort
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Stephen Crabb (Ballot 1), Theresa May thereafter
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: Remain but with lackluster in the 2016 campaign. Pledged to provide more police officers. Would be first Prime Minister of a minority ethnicity. Backed all three meaningful votes although believed to privately reject the fourth.
Kit Malthouse
Declared: 27th May 2019
MP Since: 2015
Cabinet Position: -
Other Significant Roles: Deputy Mayor of London (2008-2016)
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Deal but prepare for no deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Theresa May
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: The Malthouse amendment put forward by Malthouse on one of the meaningful votes is the considered to be the most successful of the compromises put forward. Malthouse favours a deal or a 'managed no deal'. Voted in favour of all three meaningful votes put forward by
James Cleverly
Declared: 29th May 2019
MP Since: 2015
Cabinet Position: -
Other Significant Roles: Deputy Chairman of the Conservative Party (2018-2019)
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Favours Deal but prepared for no deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Theresa May
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: When questioned on lack of experience, Cleverly commented how neither Blair nor Cameron had any governmental experience and both were the more successful of the previous 4 Prime Ministers. Voted in favour of all three meaningful votes. Believes no deal should not be the aim but it would not be disaster if it occurred.
List of Candidates by current known support from MPs (313 total in the Party)
As of 29th May 2019
Jeremy Hunt = 30
Boris Johnson = 27
Michael Gove = 25
Dominic Raab = 22
Sajid Javid = 14
Matt Hancock = 11
Esther McVey = 6
Kit Malthouse = 6
Andrea Leadsom = 4
Rory Stewart = 3
James Cleverly = 1
So far that is 149 of the 313 (47% of the total number) that have endorsed a candidate, including those running of which numbers 11 now, more than any Conservative party leadership contest before.
Although less than half of the members have declared who they are backing, it can be taken that it is likely that the final two that go to the membership vote will be two of either Hunt, Johnson, Gove or Raab. Of course as each ballot sees only one eliminated the winner of the first ballot might not necessarily win in the end. For example those who are on the softer side of Brexit will back someone with that stance once their preferred candidate is eliminated and likewise on the other side. Of the 11 candidates, 7 voted for leave in the referendum, perhaps splitting their vote share of the hard core no dealers at the first ballot, but they might come together to beat out a remainer in the final set of ballots. Of course although the pledges not to speak ill of personality, this will also be a personality test with many perhaps not supporting candidates like Boris Johnson because of their mannerisms.
The contest is likely to last a while and I will try and keep on top of it but I am currently in exams so this might not be updated that frequently unfortunately.
Rory Stewart
Declared: 5th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Positions: International Development Secretary (2019-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Unknown
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: Sir Nicholas Soames
Notes: Wishes to find a compromise for a deal to leave the European Union. Supported May in all three meaningful votes. Has declared that he would not serve under Boris Johnson if he backed no deal. Has stated no deal would be disastrous for the country. Wishes to solve Brexit by meeting people across the country through gatherings organised by Twitter.
Esther McVey
Declared: 9th May 2019
MP Since: 2010-2015, 2017-
Cabinet Position: Work and Pensions Secretary (2018)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: No Deal (will not renegotiate a deal at all)
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Inapplicable as not MP at the time
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: Resigned after Theresa May's withdrawal agreement was published. Backed the Third Meaningful vote. Supports leaving the EU without a deal as her main priority, will not even try and renegotiate a new deal
Boris Johnson
Declared: 17th May 2019
MP Since: 2001-2008, 2015-
Cabinet Position: Foreign Secretary (2016-2018)
Other Significant Roles: Mayor of London (2008-2016)
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: No Deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Andrea Leadsom
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: Peter Bone, Jacob Rees-Mogg, Nadine Dorries, Gavin Williamson, Zac Goldsmith, Johnny Mercer, John Wittingdale, Jo Johnson
Notes: Resigned after Theresa May's Chequers Plan to leave the EU. Supported Third Meaningful vote. Is prepared to leave with no deal. Long-time favourite to lead the Party. Currently under investigating for misconduct in public office for lying by saying that £350 million could be given to the NHS if Britain voted to leave the EU.
Jeremy Hunt
Declared: 24th May 2019
MP Since: 2005
Cabinet Position: Culture Secretary (2010-2012), Health Secretary (2012-2018), Foreign Secretary (2018-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Aim for deal but prepare for no deal (no deal should be avoided)
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Theresa May
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: Patrick McLoughlin
Notes: Backed all three of Theresa May's meaningful vote but is believed to have privately rejected the attempted fourth. Is prepared for no deal but believes it would be 'political suicide' if the country did leave the EU this way. Was a contemporary of David Cameron at Oxford.
Matt Hancock
Declared: 25th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Position: Culture Secretary (2018), Health Secretary (2018-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Unknown
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: Damien Green, Caroline Spellman
Notes: Seeks to compromise with Parliament and be more open than Theresa May to reach a deal. Voted in favour of all three meaningful votes under Theresa May. Hancock has been described as being tech-savy and was the first MP to have their own app. Along with Raab, he started the 'Do not speak ill of a fellow Conservative pledge'. The Sun reports that Hancock was the one who approached the media to broadcast debates between the would-be leaders.
Dominic Raab
Declared: 25th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Position: Brexit Secretary (2018)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Aim for deal but prepare for no deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Michael Gove, unknown in membership vote
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: David Davis
Notes: Resigned as Brexit Secretary following disagreement with the withdrawal arrangement of exiting the EU. Voted for Theresa May's Third meaningful vote. Backs a deal but is prepared to leave with no deal. Along with Hancock, started the 'Thou Shall not speak ill will of a fellow Conservative' pledge.
Andrea Leadsom
Declared: 25th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Position: Environment Secretary (2016-2017), Leader of the House of Commons (2017-2019)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Deal but prepared to leave with no deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Herself
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: Went for leader in 2016, made it to the final two before withdrawing in the membership vote after saying that she would make a better PM than Theresa because she has children. Backed the government on the three meaningful votes but resigned as she opposed the propositions for the fourth. Wishes to leave with a deal but is prepared to leave with no deal.
Michael Gove
Declared: 26th May 2019
MP Since: 2005
Cabinet Position: Education Secretary (2010-2014), Chief Whip (2014-2015), Justice Secretary (2015-2016), Environment Secretary (2017-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Deal but prepare for no deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Himself until he was voted out in second ballot, then supported Theresa May
Cabinet Members Support: Mel Stride
Other Significant Support: Edward Leigh, Nicky Morgan
Notes: Ran in 2016 after stating he would not. Came 3rd of 5th, eliminated in second ballot. Gove's performance was noted to be weaker as he had withdrawn his support of Boris Johnson only minutes before the candidate deadline. Leading figure in Vote Leave but has stayed in the cabinet and supported May in all three meaningful votes.
Sajid Javid
Declared: 27th May 2019
MP Since: 2010
Cabinet Position: Culture Secretary (2014-2015), Business Secretary (2014-2015), Communities Secretary and Local Government Secretary (2015-2018), Home Secretary (2018-)
Other Significant Roles: -
EU Referendum Vote: Remain
Deal or No Deal: Not stated yet, but likely to be deal and prepare for no deal but in last resort
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Stephen Crabb (Ballot 1), Theresa May thereafter
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: Remain but with lackluster in the 2016 campaign. Pledged to provide more police officers. Would be first Prime Minister of a minority ethnicity. Backed all three meaningful votes although believed to privately reject the fourth.
Kit Malthouse
Declared: 27th May 2019
MP Since: 2015
Cabinet Position: -
Other Significant Roles: Deputy Mayor of London (2008-2016)
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Deal but prepare for no deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Theresa May
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: The Malthouse amendment put forward by Malthouse on one of the meaningful votes is the considered to be the most successful of the compromises put forward. Malthouse favours a deal or a 'managed no deal'. Voted in favour of all three meaningful votes put forward by
James Cleverly
Declared: 29th May 2019
MP Since: 2015
Cabinet Position: -
Other Significant Roles: Deputy Chairman of the Conservative Party (2018-2019)
EU Referendum Vote: Leave
Deal or No Deal: Favours Deal but prepared for no deal
2016 Leadership Election Vote: Theresa May
Cabinet Members Support: None
Other Significant Support: None
Notes: When questioned on lack of experience, Cleverly commented how neither Blair nor Cameron had any governmental experience and both were the more successful of the previous 4 Prime Ministers. Voted in favour of all three meaningful votes. Believes no deal should not be the aim but it would not be disaster if it occurred.
List of Candidates by current known support from MPs (313 total in the Party)
As of 29th May 2019
Jeremy Hunt = 30
Boris Johnson = 27
Michael Gove = 25
Dominic Raab = 22
Sajid Javid = 14
Matt Hancock = 11
Esther McVey = 6
Kit Malthouse = 6
Andrea Leadsom = 4
Rory Stewart = 3
James Cleverly = 1
So far that is 149 of the 313 (47% of the total number) that have endorsed a candidate, including those running of which numbers 11 now, more than any Conservative party leadership contest before.
Although less than half of the members have declared who they are backing, it can be taken that it is likely that the final two that go to the membership vote will be two of either Hunt, Johnson, Gove or Raab. Of course as each ballot sees only one eliminated the winner of the first ballot might not necessarily win in the end. For example those who are on the softer side of Brexit will back someone with that stance once their preferred candidate is eliminated and likewise on the other side. Of the 11 candidates, 7 voted for leave in the referendum, perhaps splitting their vote share of the hard core no dealers at the first ballot, but they might come together to beat out a remainer in the final set of ballots. Of course although the pledges not to speak ill of personality, this will also be a personality test with many perhaps not supporting candidates like Boris Johnson because of their mannerisms.
The contest is likely to last a while and I will try and keep on top of it but I am currently in exams so this might not be updated that frequently unfortunately.
Theresa May - an end
Theresa May announced yesterday, 24th May 2019, that she intends to resign as leader of the Conservative Party on 7th June of this year. She took the post on 11th July 2016, and therefore will be leader of the party for just under three years.
May has been a Conservative MP since 1997 general election, making it through 6 general elections. She became Home Secretary, one of the Great Councillors of State and the 5th highest position in the land (behind Prime Minister, Deputy Prime Minister, First Secretary of State (who also held the position of Foreign Secretary at this time) and Chancellor of the Exchequer). She served in this role from 2010-2016, making her the longest serving Home Secretary in modern times. May served as Home Secretary largely without major criticism, but there was one large scandal over undocumented migrants entering the country.
In Cameron's first term in office, his party saw the loss of votes to UKIP, with UKIP defeating the Tories in the 2014 European Election, resulting in the Conservatives being in third place. UKIP had also done well in the local elections of the same year and two Conservative MPs had defected to the party also, Douglas Carswell and Mark Reckless. To ensure that Cameron didn't lose votes to UKIP in the 2015 general election and lose his leading, Cameron promised an in-out referendum on the membership of the UK in the European Election. It was this decision that has halted politics for the last three years. May backed remain during this referendum, but was not a vocal leader in the campaign, and was one of the remain MPs to switch sides of the debate to honour the result. When Cameron resigned over the issue, May entered the race to become the new leader of the Conservative Party and therefore Prime Minister.
The battle to replace Cameron was accepted to be a close head-to-head between May and the Brexiteer Boris Johnson. Johnson however withdrew from the race before nominations began after his campaign manager, Michael Gove, announced that he no longer had support in Johnson and decided to run himself. May therefore battled against the leavers, Gove, Leadsom and Fox and against remainer Stephen Crabb. In the vote round of votes from the Conservative MPs, May received more than half of the votes. Liam Fox received the lowest amounts of votes and was eliminated, and realising he did not have enough support, Crabb withdrew. The second vote saw May's vote grow even more and saw Michael Gove be eliminated. May and Leadsom then went to the membership as the top two. Leadsom however withdrew after she made controversial statement over the fact that she was a mother, and May was not, and this was a reason why she would make a better Prime Minister. Following Leadsom's withdrawal, May became leader of the Conservative Party on 11th July. Cameron, who had expected to be Prime Minister until October, left office as Prime Minister two days later after his final Prime Minister's Questions. Theresa May entered Buckingham Palace as soon as Cameron exited, and accepted the Queen's invitation to form a government. The United Kingdom had gained its second female Prime Minister in history, and again it was a Conservative.
As Theresa May became Prime Minister, she needed to form her own cabinet. 5 cabinet members of David Cameron's cabinet were sacked, including high profile ministers, Michael Gove and the Chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osbourne. Theresa May appointed Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond as Chancellor, Amber Rudd as Home Secretary and her political nemesis, Boris Johnson as Foreign Secretary. A crucial new role in cabinet was the position of Brexit Secretary, which went to David Davis. Theresa May would go on to have more resignations than Margaret Thatcher and Tony Blair who were Prime Ministers for a decade or more. She had 59 resignations, 33 over Brexit, and 12 from the cabinet including two councillors of state.
Theresa May had inherited a small majority of 6 from David Cameron, and therefore in order to ensure she could get her Brexit deal through, she called a snap election. May was well ahead in the polls but ultimately she lost seats, going from 331 to 317. The Labour Party grew from 232 seats to 262. Theresa May still led the largest party, but the slim majority was lost for a minority government. Theresa had to rely on the hard-line Brexit party, the DUP to get through her deal. This decision was where May's period of good light in the media came to and end.
The issue that got rid of her predecessor got rid of her as well: Brexit. Theresa May was stuck in a position of a split party, with the European Research Group led by Jacob Rees-Mogg demanding that she left with no deal if the European Union did not give her a good deal. May's plan on how to leave the European Union saw two cabinet members resign, Boris Johnson and David Davis. The Withdrawal Agreement saw two more go, Ester McVey and Dominac Raab. In December 2018, May saw a vote of no confidence in her leadership of the party, one that she won 200-117 (which was much higher victory than Jeremy Corbyn when he received one in 2016). May went on to try and get her Brexit deal through parliament, with the first attempt resulting in a defeat of 230, which broke the record for the largest government defeat. Following this, Jeremy Corbyn declared a vote of no confidence in the government, the first time since Jim Callagan had been defeated by one in 1979 by one vote. The divided Conservative Party rallied around the government for this vote, as did the DUP, meaning the government survived. Theresa attempted to get through her deal again, being defeated by 149. This was the 4th highest defeat in parliamentary history. A third vote was defeated by a smaller margin of 58 votes, with the likes of Jacob Rees-Mogg and Boris Johnson now backing the deal in order to ensure that Brexit occurred, due to the fact that the defeat of the second meaningful vote resulted in a delay of Brexit from 29th March to 22nd May. The DUP still did not back the government and therefore Brexit was posponed again for 31st October. During this period, Parliament voted to take control of government business, an unprecedented move. A series of indicative votes also made it clear that no deal, a referendum or a deal with a customs union would all not go through Parliament.
Following the third defeat, May began negotiating with Jeremy Corbyn to gain support from his party as her party had not backed her deal. This led to huge outcries and the 1922 backbench committee considering to change the confidence votes to challenge May again. May eventually put forward a revised version of her deal, one that was more in line with a soft Brexit. Andrea Leadsom resigned over it as leader of the House of Commons and Jeremy Hunt and Sajid Javid met with the Prime Minister to see if they could alter the deal. Theresa May, then resigned from office.
Theresa May tried to do the impossible, she was in my opinion the best person for the job. Her time of office has been overshadowed by Brexit, but she has made significant contributions for equality and has given the NHS record amounts of money. Theresa will remain Prime Minister until the end of July when her replacement is chosen.
May has been a Conservative MP since 1997 general election, making it through 6 general elections. She became Home Secretary, one of the Great Councillors of State and the 5th highest position in the land (behind Prime Minister, Deputy Prime Minister, First Secretary of State (who also held the position of Foreign Secretary at this time) and Chancellor of the Exchequer). She served in this role from 2010-2016, making her the longest serving Home Secretary in modern times. May served as Home Secretary largely without major criticism, but there was one large scandal over undocumented migrants entering the country.
In Cameron's first term in office, his party saw the loss of votes to UKIP, with UKIP defeating the Tories in the 2014 European Election, resulting in the Conservatives being in third place. UKIP had also done well in the local elections of the same year and two Conservative MPs had defected to the party also, Douglas Carswell and Mark Reckless. To ensure that Cameron didn't lose votes to UKIP in the 2015 general election and lose his leading, Cameron promised an in-out referendum on the membership of the UK in the European Election. It was this decision that has halted politics for the last three years. May backed remain during this referendum, but was not a vocal leader in the campaign, and was one of the remain MPs to switch sides of the debate to honour the result. When Cameron resigned over the issue, May entered the race to become the new leader of the Conservative Party and therefore Prime Minister.
The battle to replace Cameron was accepted to be a close head-to-head between May and the Brexiteer Boris Johnson. Johnson however withdrew from the race before nominations began after his campaign manager, Michael Gove, announced that he no longer had support in Johnson and decided to run himself. May therefore battled against the leavers, Gove, Leadsom and Fox and against remainer Stephen Crabb. In the vote round of votes from the Conservative MPs, May received more than half of the votes. Liam Fox received the lowest amounts of votes and was eliminated, and realising he did not have enough support, Crabb withdrew. The second vote saw May's vote grow even more and saw Michael Gove be eliminated. May and Leadsom then went to the membership as the top two. Leadsom however withdrew after she made controversial statement over the fact that she was a mother, and May was not, and this was a reason why she would make a better Prime Minister. Following Leadsom's withdrawal, May became leader of the Conservative Party on 11th July. Cameron, who had expected to be Prime Minister until October, left office as Prime Minister two days later after his final Prime Minister's Questions. Theresa May entered Buckingham Palace as soon as Cameron exited, and accepted the Queen's invitation to form a government. The United Kingdom had gained its second female Prime Minister in history, and again it was a Conservative.
As Theresa May became Prime Minister, she needed to form her own cabinet. 5 cabinet members of David Cameron's cabinet were sacked, including high profile ministers, Michael Gove and the Chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osbourne. Theresa May appointed Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond as Chancellor, Amber Rudd as Home Secretary and her political nemesis, Boris Johnson as Foreign Secretary. A crucial new role in cabinet was the position of Brexit Secretary, which went to David Davis. Theresa May would go on to have more resignations than Margaret Thatcher and Tony Blair who were Prime Ministers for a decade or more. She had 59 resignations, 33 over Brexit, and 12 from the cabinet including two councillors of state.
Theresa May had inherited a small majority of 6 from David Cameron, and therefore in order to ensure she could get her Brexit deal through, she called a snap election. May was well ahead in the polls but ultimately she lost seats, going from 331 to 317. The Labour Party grew from 232 seats to 262. Theresa May still led the largest party, but the slim majority was lost for a minority government. Theresa had to rely on the hard-line Brexit party, the DUP to get through her deal. This decision was where May's period of good light in the media came to and end.
The issue that got rid of her predecessor got rid of her as well: Brexit. Theresa May was stuck in a position of a split party, with the European Research Group led by Jacob Rees-Mogg demanding that she left with no deal if the European Union did not give her a good deal. May's plan on how to leave the European Union saw two cabinet members resign, Boris Johnson and David Davis. The Withdrawal Agreement saw two more go, Ester McVey and Dominac Raab. In December 2018, May saw a vote of no confidence in her leadership of the party, one that she won 200-117 (which was much higher victory than Jeremy Corbyn when he received one in 2016). May went on to try and get her Brexit deal through parliament, with the first attempt resulting in a defeat of 230, which broke the record for the largest government defeat. Following this, Jeremy Corbyn declared a vote of no confidence in the government, the first time since Jim Callagan had been defeated by one in 1979 by one vote. The divided Conservative Party rallied around the government for this vote, as did the DUP, meaning the government survived. Theresa attempted to get through her deal again, being defeated by 149. This was the 4th highest defeat in parliamentary history. A third vote was defeated by a smaller margin of 58 votes, with the likes of Jacob Rees-Mogg and Boris Johnson now backing the deal in order to ensure that Brexit occurred, due to the fact that the defeat of the second meaningful vote resulted in a delay of Brexit from 29th March to 22nd May. The DUP still did not back the government and therefore Brexit was posponed again for 31st October. During this period, Parliament voted to take control of government business, an unprecedented move. A series of indicative votes also made it clear that no deal, a referendum or a deal with a customs union would all not go through Parliament.
Following the third defeat, May began negotiating with Jeremy Corbyn to gain support from his party as her party had not backed her deal. This led to huge outcries and the 1922 backbench committee considering to change the confidence votes to challenge May again. May eventually put forward a revised version of her deal, one that was more in line with a soft Brexit. Andrea Leadsom resigned over it as leader of the House of Commons and Jeremy Hunt and Sajid Javid met with the Prime Minister to see if they could alter the deal. Theresa May, then resigned from office.
Theresa May tried to do the impossible, she was in my opinion the best person for the job. Her time of office has been overshadowed by Brexit, but she has made significant contributions for equality and has given the NHS record amounts of money. Theresa will remain Prime Minister until the end of July when her replacement is chosen.
Thursday, 11 April 2019
The List Update
I have been quite unactive in recent months, so I thought I would report that I am still wishing to continue with this website.
My academic life has become increasingly busy but I should soon resume regular posts.
My reviews for Doctor Who Series 11 are long over due, but Arachnids in the UK will be reviewed soon I hope. May is when things will start to return to normal.
Star Wars Celebration is occurring today and continues until Monday, and is expected to have numerous details. I hope to report on some of these but unfortunately I can not guarantee everything.
I thank you for your patience for content and I will be back properly before you know it.
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